Coronavirus around the world thread

[biometrics]

we cant do tha tcalculation bitch, I.ve explained that

My logic is sound, proven with data.

 

[LD50]

My logic is sound, proven with data.

yeah but your data is incomplete

 

[biometrics]

yeah but your data is incomplete

It's not. I use official death vs recovery. I have yet to see your math.

 

[Dave]

Enjoy those 'sterile' face masks, people.

 

[Dave]

Trump and Kushner, could there be a worse pairing?

US edits National Stockpile website after Kushner claims it’s not for states

Strategic National Stockpile site edited to downplay role in helping US states.

arstechnica.com

 

[biometrics]

Trump and Kushner, could there be a worse pairing?

US edits National Stockpile website after Kushner claims it’s not for states

Strategic National Stockpile site edited to downplay role in helping US states.

arstechnica.com

Zuma + Boris?

 

[Dave]

Zuma + Boris?

They are/were doing their thing separately, the yanks have got that pair together.

 

[LD50]

It's not. I use official death vs recovery. I have yet to see your math.

There are 4 statistical numbers atm for
ACTIVE CASES - (mild & serious/critical)
CLOSED CASES- (dead & recovered)
You need the full volume of cases, active and closed, to get a closer to the truth picture
Need some input from a statistician at this point to complete the equation - as mentioned before. With access to the correct data they will be able to predict what percentage of the "serious/critical" segment will die - be it 20% 45% whatever. You need that probability factor to complete the equation
which will end up being as follows

((death value + serious/critical value x probability of death %) / Total number infected) x 100

Simply because the mild cases will recover for sure as well as the remainder of the serious cases

 

[biometrics]

There are 4 statistical numbers atm for
ACTIVE CASES - (mild & serious/critical)
CLOSED CASES- (dead & recovered)
You need the full volume of cases, active and closed, to get a closer to the truth picture
Need some input from a statistician at this point to complete the equation - as mentioned before. With access to the correct data they will be able to predict what percentage of the "serious/critical" segment will die - be it 20% 45% whatever. You need that probability factor to complete the equation
which will end up being as follows

((death value + serious/critical value *probability of death %)/Total number infected)*100

Simply because the mild cases will recover for sure as well as the remainder of the serious cases

So still no math?

My calculation is based on three months of official data. The trend is set. The data is good. The logic is sound.

Unless you can show me anything other than walls of text, I know I am correct.

Pfft.

 

[Dave]

Trump pissing off Canada and Germany in one day.

Trudeau threatens retaliation after Trump keeps shipment of masks intended for Canadian doctors

Warning comes after Trump administration blocks export of protective masks to Canada

www.independent.co.uk

Coronavirus: US accused of ‘piracy’ over mask ‘confiscation’

Berlin officials say 200,000 masks have been diverted to the US under a law invoked by Donald Trump.

www.bbc.co.uk

 

[LD50]

So still no math?

My calculation is based on three months of official data. The trend is set. The data is good. The logic is sound.

Unless you can show me anything other than walls of text, I know I am correct.

Pfft.

You cannot link the death value with ONLY the recovered value. Your mortality rate is 20%
Wanna try and explain your thinking with the good people at the WHO?

 

[LD50]

LOL
Trump: "Joe Biden isn't watching this right now. If he is he doesn't understand what he is watching"

 

[biometrics]

You cannot link the death value with ONLY the recovered value. Your mortality rate is 20%
Wanna try and explain your thinking with the good people at the WHO?

Sigh.

Let me try again.

You know state machines, right?

 

[LD50]

Sigh.

Let me try again.

You know state machines, right?

View attachment 554

Why we're overestimating the mortality rate for COVID-19

A lack of adequate testing for COVID-19 means only a proportion of cases are being counted in official statistics - making it seem deadlier than it is.

www.weforum.org

 

[LD50]

Having an equation does not mean you have an accurate answer

 

[LD50]

Sigh.

Let me try again.

You know state machines, right?

Nobody with the right credentials in the world will agree with you on this.
You are being difficult right now. It feels like I'm in a Bitcoin thread

 

[biometrics]

Nobody with the right credentials in the world will agree with you on this.
You are being difficult right now. It feels like I'm in a Bitcoin thread

Do you speak for them?

Jesus dude, did you look at my pic? There are only two outcomes, you either die or you recover. In the past three months we have good data, 1m infected, 200k recovered, 50k died. Using primary school fraction math, aka percentage, it is clear that:

death rate in % = (deaths/(deaths+recoveries))*100

 

[LD50]

Do you speak for them?

Jesus dude, did you look at my pic? There are only two outcomes, you either die or you recover. In the past three months we have good data, 1m infected, 200k recovered, 50k died. Using primary school fraction math, aka percentage, it is clear that:

death rate in % = (deaths/(deaths+recoveries))*100

So how is it that the considered death rate by proffesionals in the field is not even a quarter of your 20% (which btw now climbed to 21%)

here's one for you.

According to Dr Anthony Fauci, the director of the US National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, the estimated percentage of Covid-19 deaths was earlier predicted to be 2%, but he did mention it could be lower due to the number of infections that go undetected.

Coronavirus death rate lower than previously thought, study suggests | Life

The number of sudden coronavirus-related deaths paints a grim reality. But research suggests this number is not as horrific as it seems, even though this coronavirus is still deadlier than seasonal flu.

www.health24.com

2% !! Good lord how the fuck did they get their calculation so wrong. They should get in contact with that coder in Hermanus

You have no insight for this

 

[biometrics]

Why we're overestimating the mortality rate for COVID-19

A lack of adequate testing for COVID-19 means only a proportion of cases are being counted in official statistics - making it seem deadlier than it is.

www.weforum.org

You are missing it. The death rate is based on infections.

What is your chance of dying if you are infected. That is the question.

 

[biometrics]

So how is it that the considered death rate by proffesionals in the field is not even a quarter of your 20% (which btw now climbed to 21%)

here's one for you.

Coronavirus death rate lower than previously thought, study suggests | Life

The number of sudden coronavirus-related deaths paints a grim reality. But research suggests this number is not as horrific as it seems, even though this coronavirus is still deadlier than seasonal flu.

www.health24.com

2% !! Good lord how the fuck did they get their calculation so wrong. They should get in contact with that coder in Hermanus

You have no insight for this

Punch the numbers into the %. Why would I lie?